Arid
DOI10.1002/met.127
Artificial neural network models for forecasting intermittent monthly precipitation in arid regions
Dahamsheh, Ahmad2; Aksoy, Hafzullah1
通讯作者Aksoy, Hafzullah
来源期刊METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS
ISSN1350-4827
EISSN1469-8080
出版年2009
卷号16期号:3页码:325-337
英文摘要

Forecasting monthly precipitation in and regions is investigated by means of feed forward back propagation (FFBP) artificial neural networks (ANNs) and compared to the linear regression technique with multiple inputs (MLR). Four meteorological stations from different geographical regions in Jordan are selected. The ANNs and MLR processes are analysed based on the mean square error, relative/absolute error, determination coefficient as well as the central statistical moments such as mean, standard deviation, and minimum and maximum values. It is found that whilst on one hand the ANNs are slightly better than the MLR in forecasting the monthly total precipitation, on the other hand, both are found with to have limitations which should be improved by means of either changing the type and architecture of the ANNs or incorporating modelling tools such as Markov chains into the forecast model. Copyright (C) 2009 Royal Meteorological Society


英文关键词artificial neural networks linear regression feed-forward back propagation intermittent precipitation Jordan monthly precipitation
类型Article
语种英语
国家Turkey ; Jordan
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000269979500007
WOS关键词NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION ; SUMMER FLOOD OCCURRENCE ; LONG-TERM CHANGES ; RAINFALL PATTERNS ; TIME-SERIES ; MONSOON RAINFALL ; SOUTHERN ISRAEL ; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; CLIMATE ; JORDAN
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/161929
作者单位1.Istanbul Tech Univ, Hydraul Div, Dept Civil Engn, TR-34469 Istanbul, Turkey;
2.Jordan Meteorol Dept, Amman 11134, Jordan
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Dahamsheh, Ahmad,Aksoy, Hafzullah. Artificial neural network models for forecasting intermittent monthly precipitation in arid regions[J],2009,16(3):325-337.
APA Dahamsheh, Ahmad,&Aksoy, Hafzullah.(2009).Artificial neural network models for forecasting intermittent monthly precipitation in arid regions.METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS,16(3),325-337.
MLA Dahamsheh, Ahmad,et al."Artificial neural network models for forecasting intermittent monthly precipitation in arid regions".METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS 16.3(2009):325-337.
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