Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1002/met.127 |
Artificial neural network models for forecasting intermittent monthly precipitation in arid regions | |
Dahamsheh, Ahmad2; Aksoy, Hafzullah1 | |
通讯作者 | Aksoy, Hafzullah |
来源期刊 | METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS
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ISSN | 1350-4827 |
EISSN | 1469-8080 |
出版年 | 2009 |
卷号 | 16期号:3页码:325-337 |
英文摘要 | Forecasting monthly precipitation in and regions is investigated by means of feed forward back propagation (FFBP) artificial neural networks (ANNs) and compared to the linear regression technique with multiple inputs (MLR). Four meteorological stations from different geographical regions in Jordan are selected. The ANNs and MLR processes are analysed based on the mean square error, relative/absolute error, determination coefficient as well as the central statistical moments such as mean, standard deviation, and minimum and maximum values. It is found that whilst on one hand the ANNs are slightly better than the MLR in forecasting the monthly total precipitation, on the other hand, both are found with to have limitations which should be improved by means of either changing the type and architecture of the ANNs or incorporating modelling tools such as Markov chains into the forecast model. Copyright (C) 2009 Royal Meteorological Society |
英文关键词 | artificial neural networks linear regression feed-forward back propagation intermittent precipitation Jordan monthly precipitation |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Turkey ; Jordan |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000269979500007 |
WOS关键词 | NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION ; SUMMER FLOOD OCCURRENCE ; LONG-TERM CHANGES ; RAINFALL PATTERNS ; TIME-SERIES ; MONSOON RAINFALL ; SOUTHERN ISRAEL ; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; CLIMATE ; JORDAN |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/161929 |
作者单位 | 1.Istanbul Tech Univ, Hydraul Div, Dept Civil Engn, TR-34469 Istanbul, Turkey; 2.Jordan Meteorol Dept, Amman 11134, Jordan |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Dahamsheh, Ahmad,Aksoy, Hafzullah. Artificial neural network models for forecasting intermittent monthly precipitation in arid regions[J],2009,16(3):325-337. |
APA | Dahamsheh, Ahmad,&Aksoy, Hafzullah.(2009).Artificial neural network models for forecasting intermittent monthly precipitation in arid regions.METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS,16(3),325-337. |
MLA | Dahamsheh, Ahmad,et al."Artificial neural network models for forecasting intermittent monthly precipitation in arid regions".METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS 16.3(2009):325-337. |
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