Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.11.015 |
Landuse experience does qualify for adaptation to climate change | |
Popp, Alexander1; Domptail, Stephanie2; Blaum, Niels1; Jeltsch, Florian1 | |
通讯作者 | Popp, Alexander |
来源期刊 | ECOLOGICAL MODELLING
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ISSN | 0304-3800 |
出版年 | 2009 |
卷号 | 220期号:5页码:694-702 |
英文摘要 | The need to implement sustainable resource management regimes for semi-arid and and rangelands is acute as non-adapted grazing strategies lead to irreversible environmental problems such as desertification and associated loss of economic support to society. In these sensitive ecosystems, traditional sectoral, disciplinary approaches will not work to attain sustainability: achieving a collective vision of how to attain sustainability requires interactive efforts among disciplines in a more integrated approach. Therefore, we developed an integrated ecological-economic approach that consists of an ecological and an economic module and combines relevant processes on either level. Parameters for both modules are adjusted for an and dwarf shrub savannah in southern Namibia. The economic module is used to analyse decisions of different virtual farmer types on annual stocking rates depending on their knowledge how the ecosystem works and climatic conditions. We used a dynamic linear optimisation model to simulate farm economics and livestock dynamics. The ecological module is used to simulate the impact of the farmers’ land-use decision, derived by the economic module, on ecosystem dynamics and resulting carrying capacity of the system for livestock. Vegetation dynamics, based on the concept of State-and-transition models, and forage productivity for both modules is derived by a small-scale and spatially explicit vegetation model. This mechanistic approach guarantees that data collected and processes estimated at smaller scales are included in our application. Simulation results of the ecological module were successfully compared to simulation results of the optimisation model for a time series of 30 years. We revealed that sustainable management of semi-arid and and rangelands relies strongly on rangeland managers’ understanding of ecological processes. Furthermore, our simulation results demonstr n results demonstrate that the projected lower annual rainfall due to climate change adds an additional layer of risk to these ecosystems that are already prone to land degradation. (C) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | Adaptation Climate change Arid rangelands Namibia Bio-economic simulation approach |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Germany |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000263817900011 |
WOS关键词 | ECOLOGICAL-ECONOMIC SYSTEMS ; ECOSYSTEM MANAGEMENT ; SOUTH-AFRICA ; AGRICULTURE ; DYNAMICS ; SAVANNA ; IMPACTS ; VARIABILITY ; RESILIENCE ; RANGELANDS |
WOS类目 | Ecology |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/160378 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Potsdam, Dept Plant Ecol & Nat Conservat, D-14469 Potsdam, Germany; 2.Univ Giessen, Inst Agr Policy & Mkt Res, D-35935 Giessen, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Popp, Alexander,Domptail, Stephanie,Blaum, Niels,et al. Landuse experience does qualify for adaptation to climate change[J],2009,220(5):694-702. |
APA | Popp, Alexander,Domptail, Stephanie,Blaum, Niels,&Jeltsch, Florian.(2009).Landuse experience does qualify for adaptation to climate change.ECOLOGICAL MODELLING,220(5),694-702. |
MLA | Popp, Alexander,et al."Landuse experience does qualify for adaptation to climate change".ECOLOGICAL MODELLING 220.5(2009):694-702. |
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