Arid
DOI10.1007/s10584-008-9493-y
Potential impact of climate change on carbon in agricultural soils in Canada 2000-2099
Smith, W. N.; Grant, B. B.; Desjardins, R. L.; Qian, B.; Hutchinson, J.; Gameda, S.
通讯作者Desjardins, R. L.
来源期刊CLIMATIC CHANGE
ISSN0165-0009
EISSN1573-1480
出版年2009
卷号93期号:3-4页码:319-333
英文摘要

Under the threat of global warming it is important to determine the impact that future changes in climate may have on the environment and to what extent any adverse effects can be mitigated. In this study we assessed the impact that climate change scenarios may have on soil carbon stocks in Canada and examined the potential for agricultural management practices to improve or maintain soil quality. Historical weather data from 1951 to 2001 indicated that semi-arid soils in western Canada have become warmer and dryer and air temperatures have increased during the spring and winter months. Results from the Canadian Center for Climate Modelling and Analysis (CCCma) Coupled Global Climate Model (CGCM1,2) under two climate change forcing scenarios also indicated that future temperatures would increase more in the spring and winter. Precipitation increased significantly under the IPCC IS92a scenario and agreed with historical trends in eastern Canada whereas the IPCC SRES B2 scenario indicated very little change in precipitation and better matched historical trends in western Canada. The Century model was used to examine the influence of climate change on agricultural soil carbon (C) stocks in Canada. Relative to simulations using historical weather data, model results under the SRES B2 climate scenario indicated that agricultural soils would lose 160 Tg of carbon by 2099 and under the IS92a scenario would lose 53 Tg C. Carbon was still lost from soils in humid climatic regions even though C inputs from crops increased by 10-13%. Carbon factors associated with changes in management practices were also estimated under both climate change scenarios. There was little difference in factors associated with conversion from conventional to no-till agriculture, while carbon factors associated with the conversion of annual crops to perennial grass were lower than for historical data in semi-arid soils because water stress hampered crop production but were higher in humid soils.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Canada
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000264477100003
WOS关键词SOUTHWESTERN SASKATCHEWAN ; ORGANIC-CARBON ; CO2 EMISSIONS ; TEMPERATURE ; RESPIRATION ; BALANCE ; MODEL
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/160185
作者单位Agr & Agri Food Canada, Res Branch, Ottawa, ON K1A 0C6, Canada
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Smith, W. N.,Grant, B. B.,Desjardins, R. L.,et al. Potential impact of climate change on carbon in agricultural soils in Canada 2000-2099[J],2009,93(3-4):319-333.
APA Smith, W. N.,Grant, B. B.,Desjardins, R. L.,Qian, B.,Hutchinson, J.,&Gameda, S..(2009).Potential impact of climate change on carbon in agricultural soils in Canada 2000-2099.CLIMATIC CHANGE,93(3-4),319-333.
MLA Smith, W. N.,et al."Potential impact of climate change on carbon in agricultural soils in Canada 2000-2099".CLIMATIC CHANGE 93.3-4(2009):319-333.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Smith, W. N.]的文章
[Grant, B. B.]的文章
[Desjardins, R. L.]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Smith, W. N.]的文章
[Grant, B. B.]的文章
[Desjardins, R. L.]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Smith, W. N.]的文章
[Grant, B. B.]的文章
[Desjardins, R. L.]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。