Arid
DOI10.5194/bg-6-469-2009
Disentangling the effects of climate and people on Sahel vegetation dynamics
Seaquist, J. W.1; Hickler, T.1; Eklundh, L.1; Ardo, J.1; Heumann, B. W.2
通讯作者Seaquist, J. W.
来源期刊BIOGEOSCIENCES
ISSN1726-4170
出版年2009
卷号6期号:3页码:469-477
英文摘要

The Sahel belt of Africa has been the focus of intensive scientific research since the 1960s, spurred on by the chronic vulnerability of its population to recurring drought and the threat of long-term land degradation. But satellite sensors have recently shown that much of the region has experienced significant increases in photosynthetic activity since the early 1980s, thus re-energizing long-standing debates about the role that people play in shaping land surface status, and thus climate at regional scales. In this paper, we test the hypothesis that people have had a measurable impact on vegetation dynamics in the Sahel for the period 1982-2002. We compare potential natural vegetation dynamics predicted by a process-based ecosystem model with satellite-derived greenness observations, and map the agreement between the two across a geographic grid at a spatial resolution of 0.5 degrees. As aggregated data-model agreement is very good, any local differences between the two could be due to human impact. We then relate this agreement metric to state-of-theart data sets on demographics, pasture, and cropping. Our findings suggest that demographic and agricultural pressures in the Sahel are unable to account for differences between simulated and observed vegetation dynamics, even for the most densely populated areas. But we do identify a weak, positive correlation between data-model agreement and pasture intensity at the Sahel-wide level. This indicates that herding or grazing does not appreciably affect vegetation dynamics in the region. Either people have not had a significant impact on vegetation dynamics in the Sahel or the identification of a human "footprint" is precluded by inconsistent or subtle vegetation response to complex socio-environmental interactions, and/or limitations in the data used for this study. We do not exclude the possibility of a greater human influence on vegetation dynamics over the coming decades with changing land use.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Sweden ; USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000264741800013
WOS关键词AFRICAN SAHEL ; MODEL ; NDVI ; DESERTIFICATION ; VARIABILITY ; RAINFALL ; TRENDS ; REINTERPRETATION ; DEGRADATION ; BALANCE
WOS类目Ecology ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/159985
作者单位1.Lund Univ, Geobiosphere Sci Ctr, Dept Phys Geog & Ecosyst Anal, S-22362 Lund, Sweden;
2.Univ N Carolina, Dept Geog, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Seaquist, J. W.,Hickler, T.,Eklundh, L.,et al. Disentangling the effects of climate and people on Sahel vegetation dynamics[J],2009,6(3):469-477.
APA Seaquist, J. W.,Hickler, T.,Eklundh, L.,Ardo, J.,&Heumann, B. W..(2009).Disentangling the effects of climate and people on Sahel vegetation dynamics.BIOGEOSCIENCES,6(3),469-477.
MLA Seaquist, J. W.,et al."Disentangling the effects of climate and people on Sahel vegetation dynamics".BIOGEOSCIENCES 6.3(2009):469-477.
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