Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1086/507711 |
Empirical analyses of plant-climate relationships for the western United States | |
Rehfeldt, Gerald E.; Crookston, Nicholas L.; Warwell, Marcus V.; Evans, Jeffrey S. | |
通讯作者 | Rehfeldt, Gerald E. |
来源期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PLANT SCIENCES
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ISSN | 1058-5893 |
出版年 | 2006 |
卷号 | 167期号:6页码:1123-1150 |
英文摘要 | The Random Forests multiple-regression tree was used to model climate profiles of 25 biotic communities of the western United States and nine of their constituent species. Analyses of the communities were based on a gridded sample of ca. 140,000 points, while those for the species used presence-absence data from ca. 120,000 locations. Independent variables included 35 simple expressions of temperature and precipitation and their interactions. Classification errors for community models averaged 19%, but the errors were reduced by half when adjusted for misalignment between geographic data sets. Errors of omission for species-specific models approached 0, while errors of commission were less than 9%. Mapped climate profiles of the species were in solid agreement with range maps. Climate variables of most importance for segregating the communities were those that generally differentiate maritime, continental, and monsoonal climates, while those of importance for predicting the occurrence of species varied among species but consistently implicated the periodicity of precipitation and temperature-precipitation interactions. Projections showed that unmitigated global warming should increase the abundance primarily of the montane forest and grassland community profiles at the expense largely of those of the subalpine, alpine, and tundra communities but also that of the arid woodlands. However, the climate of 47% of the future landscape may be extramural to contemporary community profiles. Effects projected on the spatial distribution of species-specific profiles were varied, but shifts in space and attitude would be extensive. Species-specific projections were not necessarily consistent with those of their communities. |
英文关键词 | bioclimatic models Random Forests multiple-regression tree climatic distributions climatic niche response to climate change global warming |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000242908300005 |
WOS关键词 | VEGETATION DISTRIBUTION ; SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS ; GLOBAL CHANGE ; ADAPTIVE EVOLUTION ; CONTINENTAL-SCALE ; CHANGING CLIMATE ; PINUS-SYLVESTRIS ; MIGRATION RATES ; POLLEN SPECTRA ; WATER-BALANCE |
WOS类目 | Plant Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Plant Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/151744 |
作者单位 | (1)USDA, Rocky Mt Res Stn, Forest Serv, Forestry Sci Lab, Moscow, ID 83843 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rehfeldt, Gerald E.,Crookston, Nicholas L.,Warwell, Marcus V.,et al. Empirical analyses of plant-climate relationships for the western United States[J],2006,167(6):1123-1150. |
APA | Rehfeldt, Gerald E.,Crookston, Nicholas L.,Warwell, Marcus V.,&Evans, Jeffrey S..(2006).Empirical analyses of plant-climate relationships for the western United States.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PLANT SCIENCES,167(6),1123-1150. |
MLA | Rehfeldt, Gerald E.,et al."Empirical analyses of plant-climate relationships for the western United States".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PLANT SCIENCES 167.6(2006):1123-1150. |
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