Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.3354/cr032143 |
Problems and pitfalls in relating climate variability to population dynamics | |
Krebs, Charles J.; Berteaux, Dominique | |
通讯作者 | Krebs, Charles J. |
来源期刊 | CLIMATE RESEARCH
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ISSN | 0936-577X |
EISSN | 1616-1572 |
出版年 | 2006 |
卷号 | 32期号:2页码:143-149 |
英文摘要 | We discuss 3 methodological issues involved in climate-population dynamics research. Precise alternative hypotheses are the first requirement, and correlational studies are the weakest way to test the multiple working hypotheses required. Large-scale effects are difficult to investigate because of heterogeneity in environmental variables, and long-term predictions require more patience to test adequately. Multifactorial hypotheses are required for the investigation Of Climatic effects but these are too often vague and qualitative. Complex computer models can almost never be empirically validated and their predictions should be carefully examined. We illustrate these problems with 3 case studies: snowshoe hares in Canada, desert rodents in Arizona, and red kangaroos in Australia. Correlations abound but mechanistic understanding is limited because of long causal chains and indirect effects. |
英文关键词 | population dynamics hypothesis testing manipulative experiments mammals desert ecosystems |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Canada |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000243042400008 |
WOS关键词 | NINO-SOUTHERN-OSCILLATION ; SNOWSHOE HARES ; CYCLE ; RAINFALL ; DENSITY ; MODELS ; LEVEL ; SHEEP |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/151093 |
作者单位 | (1)Univ British Columbia, Dept Zool, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada;(2)Univ Quebec, Canada Res Chair Conservat No Ecosyst, Rimouski, PQ G5L 3A1, Canada |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Krebs, Charles J.,Berteaux, Dominique. Problems and pitfalls in relating climate variability to population dynamics[J],2006,32(2):143-149. |
APA | Krebs, Charles J.,&Berteaux, Dominique.(2006).Problems and pitfalls in relating climate variability to population dynamics.CLIMATE RESEARCH,32(2),143-149. |
MLA | Krebs, Charles J.,et al."Problems and pitfalls in relating climate variability to population dynamics".CLIMATE RESEARCH 32.2(2006):143-149. |
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