Arid
DOI10.3354/cr032143
Problems and pitfalls in relating climate variability to population dynamics
Krebs, Charles J.; Berteaux, Dominique
通讯作者Krebs, Charles J.
来源期刊CLIMATE RESEARCH
ISSN0936-577X
EISSN1616-1572
出版年2006
卷号32期号:2页码:143-149
英文摘要

We discuss 3 methodological issues involved in climate-population dynamics research. Precise alternative hypotheses are the first requirement, and correlational studies are the weakest way to test the multiple working hypotheses required. Large-scale effects are difficult to investigate because of heterogeneity in environmental variables, and long-term predictions require more patience to test adequately. Multifactorial hypotheses are required for the investigation Of Climatic effects but these are too often vague and qualitative. Complex computer models can almost never be empirically validated and their predictions should be carefully examined. We illustrate these problems with 3 case studies: snowshoe hares in Canada, desert rodents in Arizona, and red kangaroos in Australia. Correlations abound but mechanistic understanding is limited because of long causal chains and indirect effects.


英文关键词population dynamics hypothesis testing manipulative experiments mammals desert ecosystems
类型Article
语种英语
国家Canada
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000243042400008
WOS关键词NINO-SOUTHERN-OSCILLATION ; SNOWSHOE HARES ; CYCLE ; RAINFALL ; DENSITY ; MODELS ; LEVEL ; SHEEP
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/151093
作者单位(1)Univ British Columbia, Dept Zool, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada;(2)Univ Quebec, Canada Res Chair Conservat No Ecosyst, Rimouski, PQ G5L 3A1, Canada
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GB/T 7714
Krebs, Charles J.,Berteaux, Dominique. Problems and pitfalls in relating climate variability to population dynamics[J],2006,32(2):143-149.
APA Krebs, Charles J.,&Berteaux, Dominique.(2006).Problems and pitfalls in relating climate variability to population dynamics.CLIMATE RESEARCH,32(2),143-149.
MLA Krebs, Charles J.,et al."Problems and pitfalls in relating climate variability to population dynamics".CLIMATE RESEARCH 32.2(2006):143-149.
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