Arid
Using clustered climate regimes to analyze and compare predictions from fully coupled general circulation models
Hoffman, Forrest M.; Hargrove, William W., Jr.; Erickson, David J., III; Oglesby, Robert J.
通讯作者Hoffman, Forrest M.
来源期刊EARTH INTERACTIONS
ISSN1087-3562
出版年2005
卷号9
英文摘要

Changes in Earth’s climate in response to atmospheric green-house gas buildup impact the heath of terrestrial ecosystems and the hydrologic cycle. The environmental conditions influential to plant and animal life are often mapped as ecoregions, which are land areas having similar combinations of environmental characteristics. This idea is extended to establish regions of similarity with respect to climatic characteristics that evolve through time using a quantitative statistical clustering technique called Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Clustering (MSTC). MSTC was applied to the monthly time series output from a fully coupled general circulation model (GCM) called the Parallel Climate Model (PCM). Results from an ensemble of five 99-yr-Business-As-Usual (BAU) transient simulations from 2000 to 2098 were analyzed. MSTC establishes an exhaustive set of recurring climate regimes that form a "skeleton" through the "observations" ( model output) throughout the occupied portion of the climate phase space formed by the characteristics being considered. MSTC facilitates direct comparison of ensemble members and ensemble and temporal averages since the derived climate regimes provide a basis for comparison. Moreover, by mapping all land cells to discrete climate states, the dynamic behavior of any part of the system can be studied by its time-varying sequence of climate state occupancy. MSTC is a powerful tool for model developers and environmental decision makers who wish to understand long, complex time series predictions of models. Strong predicted interannual trends were revealed in this analysis, including an increase in global desertification; a decrease in the cold, dry high-latitude conditions typical of North American and Asian winters; and significant warming in Antarctica and western Greenland.


英文关键词climate clustering Parallel Climate Model PCM Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Clustering
类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000241213400001
WOS关键词SEA-ICE DYNAMICS ; SIMULATIONS ; CCM3 ; DELINEATION ; ECOREGIONS ; REGIONS
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Geology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/148811
作者单位(1)Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Climate & Carbon Res Inst, Oak Ridge, TN 37831 USA;(2)NASA, George C Marshall Space Flight Ctr, Huntsville, AL 35812 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Hoffman, Forrest M.,Hargrove, William W., Jr.,Erickson, David J., III,et al. Using clustered climate regimes to analyze and compare predictions from fully coupled general circulation models[J],2005,9.
APA Hoffman, Forrest M.,Hargrove, William W., Jr.,Erickson, David J., III,&Oglesby, Robert J..(2005).Using clustered climate regimes to analyze and compare predictions from fully coupled general circulation models.EARTH INTERACTIONS,9.
MLA Hoffman, Forrest M.,et al."Using clustered climate regimes to analyze and compare predictions from fully coupled general circulation models".EARTH INTERACTIONS 9(2005).
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Hoffman, Forrest M.]的文章
[Hargrove, William W., Jr.]的文章
[Erickson, David J., III]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Hoffman, Forrest M.]的文章
[Hargrove, William W., Jr.]的文章
[Erickson, David J., III]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Hoffman, Forrest M.]的文章
[Hargrove, William W., Jr.]的文章
[Erickson, David J., III]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。