Arid
DOI10.1007/s10584-005-3610-y
Climate change impacts for the conterminous USA: An integrated assessment - Part 4: Water resources
Thomson, AM; Brown, RA; Rosenberg, NJ; Srinivasan, R; Izaurralde, RC
通讯作者Thomson, AM
来源期刊CLIMATIC CHANGE
ISSN0165-0009
出版年2005
卷号69期号:1页码:67-88
英文摘要

Global climate change will impact the hydrologic cycle by increasing the capacity of the atmosphere to hold moisture. Anticipated impacts are generally increased evaporation at low latitudes and increased precipitation at middle and high latitudes. General Circulation Models (GCMs) used to simulate climate disagree on whether the U.S. as a whole and its constituent regions will receive more or less precipitation as global warming occurs. The impacts on specific regions will depend on changes in weather patterns and are certain to be complex. Here we apply the suite of 12 potential climate change scenarios, previously described in Part 1, to the Hydrologic Unit Model of the United States (HUMUS) to simulate water supply in the conterminous United States in reference to a baseline scenario. We examine the sufficiency of this water supply to meet changing demands of irrigated agriculture. The changes in water supply driven by changes in climate will likely be most consequential in the semi-arid western parts of the country where water yield is currently scarce and the resource is intensively managed. Changes of greater than +/-50% with respect to present day water yield are projected in parts of the Midwest and Southwest U.S. Interannual variability in the water supply is likely to increase where conditions become drier and to decrease under wetter conditions.


类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000227957000005
WOS关键词SIMULATION
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/148727
作者单位(1)Joint Global Change Res Inst, College Pk, MD 20740 USA;(2)Independent Project Anal, Reston, VA 20190 USA;(3)Texas Agr Exptl Stn, Blackland Res Ctr, Temple, TX 76502 USA
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GB/T 7714
Thomson, AM,Brown, RA,Rosenberg, NJ,et al. Climate change impacts for the conterminous USA: An integrated assessment - Part 4: Water resources[J],2005,69(1):67-88.
APA Thomson, AM,Brown, RA,Rosenberg, NJ,Srinivasan, R,&Izaurralde, RC.(2005).Climate change impacts for the conterminous USA: An integrated assessment - Part 4: Water resources.CLIMATIC CHANGE,69(1),67-88.
MLA Thomson, AM,et al."Climate change impacts for the conterminous USA: An integrated assessment - Part 4: Water resources".CLIMATIC CHANGE 69.1(2005):67-88.
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