Arid
DOI10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<0294:UIPATI>2.0.CO;2
Uncertainties in precipitation and their impacts on runoff estimates
Fekete, BM; Vorosmarty, CJ; Roads, JO; Willmott, CJ
通讯作者Fekete, BM
来源期刊JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
ISSN0894-8755
出版年2004
卷号17期号:2页码:294-304
英文摘要

Water balance calculations are becoming increasingly important for earth-system studies. Precipitation is one of the most critical input variables for such calculations because it is the immediate source of water for the land surface hydrological budget. Numerous precipitation datasets have been developed in the last two decades, but these datasets often show marked differences in their spatial and temporal distribution of this key hydrological variable. This paper compares six monthly precipitation datasets-Climate Research Unit of University of East Anglia (CRU), Willmott-Matsuura (WM), Global Precipitation Climate Center (GPCC), Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP), Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM), and NCEP-Department of Energy ( DOE) Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP-II) Reanalysis (NCEP-2)-to assess the uncertainties in these datasets and their impact on the terrestrial water balance. The six datasets tested in the present paper were climatologically averaged and compared by calculating various statistics of the differences. The climatologically averaged monthly precipitation estimates were applied as inputs to a water balance model to estimate runoff and the uncertainties in runoff arising directly from the precipitation estimates. The results of this study highlight the need for accurate precipitation inputs for water balance calculations. These results also demonstrate the need to improve precipitation estimates in arid and semiarid regions, where slight changes in precipitation can result in dramatic changes in the runoff response due to the nonlinearity of the runoff-generation processes.


类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000188466900004
WOS关键词SPACE-TIME CLIMATE ; GLOBAL PRECIPITATION ; NCEP-DOE ; INTEGRATING PATHWAYS ; WATER-RESOURCES ; REANALYSIS ; EVAPORATION ; VARIABILITY ; PROJECT ; MODELS
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/147291
作者单位(1)Univ New Hampshire, Inst Study Earth Oceans & Space, Water Syst Anal Grp, Durham, NH 03824 USA;(2)Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA;(3)Univ Delaware, Dept Geog, Newark, DE USA
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Fekete, BM,Vorosmarty, CJ,Roads, JO,et al. Uncertainties in precipitation and their impacts on runoff estimates[J],2004,17(2):294-304.
APA Fekete, BM,Vorosmarty, CJ,Roads, JO,&Willmott, CJ.(2004).Uncertainties in precipitation and their impacts on runoff estimates.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,17(2),294-304.
MLA Fekete, BM,et al."Uncertainties in precipitation and their impacts on runoff estimates".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 17.2(2004):294-304.
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