Arid
DOI10.1023/B:CLIM.0000004551.55871.eb
Vulnerability assessment of the maize and sorghum crops to climate change in Botswana
Chipanshi, AC; Chanda, R; Totolo, O
通讯作者Chipanshi, AC
来源期刊CLIMATIC CHANGE
ISSN0165-0009
出版年2003
卷号61期号:3页码:339-360
英文摘要

This study examines the sensitivity of maize and sorghum crops to global warming in Botswana, a country with arid climatic conditions and shortfalls in locally produced grain. The vulnerability of the maize and sorghum crops to climate change were studied using crop simulation models while climate change scenarios were generated from Global Circulation Models. Simulated yields indicated that rain-fed crop production under the observed climate was a small fraction of what could be produced under optimal conditions. The gap was attributed to both physical ( especially lack of rain) and socio-economic constraints. Using the southern African core climate change scenario, simulated yields declined by 36% in the case of maize and 31% for sorghum in the sand veldt region. Yield reductions from the hard veldt region were in the order of 10% for both maize and sorghum. The growing season became shorter, the average reduction in days in the sand veldt region being 5 and 8 days for maize and sorghum respectively, and correspondingly, 3 and 4 days over the hard veldt region. The food security option currently followed in Botswana was found to be a good adaptive strategy under a changed climate.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Canada ; Botswana
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000186660900006
WOS关键词GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODELS ; SIMULATION
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/144356
作者单位(1)Agr & Agri Food Canada, Prairie Farm Rehabil Adm, Regina, SK S4P 4L2, Canada;(2)Univ Botswana & Swaziland, Gaborone, Botswana
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Chipanshi, AC,Chanda, R,Totolo, O. Vulnerability assessment of the maize and sorghum crops to climate change in Botswana[J],2003,61(3):339-360.
APA Chipanshi, AC,Chanda, R,&Totolo, O.(2003).Vulnerability assessment of the maize and sorghum crops to climate change in Botswana.CLIMATIC CHANGE,61(3),339-360.
MLA Chipanshi, AC,et al."Vulnerability assessment of the maize and sorghum crops to climate change in Botswana".CLIMATIC CHANGE 61.3(2003):339-360.
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