Arid
DOI10.1023/A:1023499612729
Assessing winter wheat responses to climate change scenarios: A simulation study in the US Great Plains
Weiss, A; Hays, CJ; Won, J
通讯作者Weiss, A
来源期刊CLIMATIC CHANGE
ISSN0165-0009
出版年2003
卷号58期号:1-2页码:119-147
英文摘要

Hard red winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) is a major crop in the Great Plains region of the U. S. The goal of this assessment effort was to investigate the influence of two contrasting global climate change projections (U. K. Hadley Center for Climate Prediction and Research and Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis) on the yield and percent kernel nitrogen content of winter wheat at three locations in Nebraska. These three locations represent sub-humid and semi arid areas and the transition between these areas and are also representative of major portions of the winter wheat growing areas of the central Great Plains. Climate scenarios based on each of the projections for each location were developed using the LARS-WG weather generator along with data from automated weather stations. CERES-Wheat was used to simulate the responses for two contrasting cultivars of wheat using two sowing dates. The first sowing date represented current sowing dates appropriate for each location. The second sowing date was later and represents the approximate date when the mean air temperature from the climate scenarios is the same as the mean air temperature from the actual climate data at the current sowing dates. The yield and percent kernel nitrogen content using the two climate scenarios generally decrease going from the sub-humid eastern to the semi arid western parts of Nebraska. Results from these simulations indicate that yield and percent kernel nitrogen content using the two climate scenarios could not both be maintained at levels currently simulated. Protein content (directly related to kernel nitrogen content) and end-use quality are the primary determinants for the use of hard red winter wheat in baked goods. Nitrogen management and new cultivars, which can enhance the uptake and translocation of nitrogen, will be proactive steps to meet the challenges of global climate change as represented by these climate scenarios.


类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000182318900008
WOS关键词GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODEL ; CERES-WHEAT ; AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS ; DURUM-WHEAT ; DRY-MATTER ; PART I ; CO2 ; RESOLUTION ; QUALITY ; SENSITIVITY
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/144354
作者单位(1)Univ Nebraska, Sch Nat Resource Sci, Lincoln, NE 68583 USA
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GB/T 7714
Weiss, A,Hays, CJ,Won, J. Assessing winter wheat responses to climate change scenarios: A simulation study in the US Great Plains[J],2003,58(1-2):119-147.
APA Weiss, A,Hays, CJ,&Won, J.(2003).Assessing winter wheat responses to climate change scenarios: A simulation study in the US Great Plains.CLIMATIC CHANGE,58(1-2),119-147.
MLA Weiss, A,et al."Assessing winter wheat responses to climate change scenarios: A simulation study in the US Great Plains".CLIMATIC CHANGE 58.1-2(2003):119-147.
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