Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1002/joc.712 |
A comparison of methods to determine the onset of the growing season in northern Nigeria | |
Ati, OF; Stigter, CJ; Oladipo, EO | |
通讯作者 | Stigter, CJ |
来源期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
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ISSN | 0899-8418 |
出版年 | 2002 |
卷号 | 22期号:6页码:731-742 |
英文摘要 | In the sudan savanna of northern Nigeria, with its semi-arid climate, the ability to determine effectively or predict the start of actual productive rains cannot be overemphasized. Several methods exist for calculating the date of onset of the rains that may be taken as the start of the growing season. Five methods Currently ill use, which are relatively easy to apply oil a large scale, were selected for comparison. One is a traditional technique (Ramadan method), two use accumulated rainfall totals (Walter’s and Sivakumar’s methods), and two use rainfall-evapotranspiration relationships (Kowal’s and Benoit’s methods). For the period 1961-91, the traditional technique performed most poorly. Walter’s method gave quite early onsets and Sivakumar’s method gave very late onsets, thereby seriously shortening the growing season. Kowal’s and Benoit’s determinations fell most often in between the results of Walter’s and Sivakumar’s methods in their performance. However, although generally to a lesser extent than the other methods, they are still significantly affected by false starts. To avoid incorrectly predicting the growing season’s onset as far as possible, but to prevent an unacceptable shortening of the growing season, a combination of Kowal’s and Sivakumar’s criteria was used to develop an improved technique. This proved to work well for determining the onset date ill the Study area. However, because some false starts remain when using average onset dates, it is suggested that all operational advisory team should be constituted by the government. This team would be responsible for calculating onset dates in any year, on-line for the ongoing season, in a participatory approach with farmers, and for disseminating Such dates to the farmers. This could be done for any place for which the appropriate data can be made available. In the future, improved climate prediction skill may replace the classical probabilistic approaches presently Suffering from increasing rainfall variabilities. Copyright (C) 2002 Royal Meteorological Society. |
英文关键词 | dry spells growing seasons methods to determine the onset of the growing season Nigeria (northern) onset of rains rainfall climate Sudan Savanna |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Netherlands ; Nigeria |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000176177400007 |
WOS关键词 | RAINFALL ; AGROMETEOROLOGY ; FLUCTUATIONS ; NEEDS |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/142812 |
作者单位 | (1)Univ Wageningen & Res Ctr, Dept Environm Sci, TTMI African Liaison Off, TTMI Project, NL-6701 AP Wageningen, Netherlands;(2)Ahmadu Bello Univ, Dept Geog, TTMI Project, Zaria, Nigeria |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ati, OF,Stigter, CJ,Oladipo, EO. A comparison of methods to determine the onset of the growing season in northern Nigeria[J],2002,22(6):731-742. |
APA | Ati, OF,Stigter, CJ,&Oladipo, EO.(2002).A comparison of methods to determine the onset of the growing season in northern Nigeria.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,22(6),731-742. |
MLA | Ati, OF,et al."A comparison of methods to determine the onset of the growing season in northern Nigeria".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 22.6(2002):731-742. |
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