Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.3354/cr021043 |
Climate sensitivity of global terrestrial net primary production (NPP) calculated using the reduced-form model NNN | |
Moldenhauer, O; Ludeke, MKB | |
通讯作者 | Moldenhauer, O |
来源期刊 | CLIMATE RESEARCH
![]() |
ISSN | 0936-577X |
出版年 | 2002 |
卷号 | 21期号:1页码:43-57 |
英文摘要 | In order to assess the potential impact of climate change on terrestrial equilibrium net primary production (NPP), information about the sensitivity of terrestrial NPP to climate change is needed. A novel approach to the definition of climate sensitivity is introduced; it does not depend on specific (and uncertain) scenarios, but rather describes the worst-case climate sensitivity of NPP, as measured by the magnitude of the gradient of NPP, as a function of the climate variables. The metric in climate space necessary for the determination of the gradient is calculated using the existing spatial variation of the climate variables as a measure of the potential for climate change, taking into account the unchanging determinants of the climate-latitude and altitude. The current correlations between the climate variables are preserved using principal component analysis. The resulting map of global NPP sensitivity shows especially high values, e.g. in the US Midwest, southern Africa, Australia, western Kazakhstan, the Maghreb and Spain, The sensitivity is aggregated to the country level, excluding the effects of the very insensitive deserts, in order to make these results applicable for policy analysis. The reduced-form model ’NNN’ predicts annual terrestrial NPP of potential natural vegetation in equilibrium on the basis of a climatology including monthly values for temperature, precipitation and light. The very short computing time of this model is a prerequisite for the above-described multidimensional sensitivity study. To construct NNN, the average of the global NPP results of 7 advanced climatology-driven functional vegetation models was used to obtain a ’best guess’ NPP field at a 0.5degrees x 0.5degrees spatial resolution. With the underlying climatology (36 values for monthly mean temperature, precipitation and light intensity per grid element), 62 483 points of an R-36 --> R-1 mapping are defined, A subset of these was used to train a neural network yielding a good reproduction of the spatial pattern with a mean absolute error of 0.026 kg C m(-2) yr(-1), which is significantly less than the mean uncertainty of the NPP average (mean absolute deviation: 0.097 kg C m(-2) yr(-1)). Furthermore, it is shown that the simple model calculates moisture-limited regions correctly, indicating that functional properties of the original models are reproduced, We hope with the NNN to make a contribution to other research which needs a very fast reduced-form NPP model. The NNN model is accessible in FORTRAN or as a C-subprogram available at: http://www.pik-potsdam.de/-ohver/NPP.html. |
英文关键词 | net primary production (NPP) climate change impact vulnerability neural networks NNN principal component analysis climate sensitivity |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Germany |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000177521400003 |
WOS关键词 | LAST GLACIAL MAXIMUM ; BIOSPHERE MODEL ; VEGETATION ; ECOSYSTEMS ; CO2 ; ATMOSPHERE |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/142333 |
作者单位 | (1)Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Moldenhauer, O,Ludeke, MKB. Climate sensitivity of global terrestrial net primary production (NPP) calculated using the reduced-form model NNN[J],2002,21(1):43-57. |
APA | Moldenhauer, O,&Ludeke, MKB.(2002).Climate sensitivity of global terrestrial net primary production (NPP) calculated using the reduced-form model NNN.CLIMATE RESEARCH,21(1),43-57. |
MLA | Moldenhauer, O,et al."Climate sensitivity of global terrestrial net primary production (NPP) calculated using the reduced-form model NNN".CLIMATE RESEARCH 21.1(2002):43-57. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
个性服务 |
推荐该条目 |
保存到收藏夹 |
导出为Endnote文件 |
谷歌学术 |
谷歌学术中相似的文章 |
[Moldenhauer, O]的文章 |
[Ludeke, MKB]的文章 |
百度学术 |
百度学术中相似的文章 |
[Moldenhauer, O]的文章 |
[Ludeke, MKB]的文章 |
必应学术 |
必应学术中相似的文章 |
[Moldenhauer, O]的文章 |
[Ludeke, MKB]的文章 |
相关权益政策 |
暂无数据 |
收藏/分享 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。