Arid
DOI10.3354/cr012195
Forest ecosystem climate change impact assessment and adaptation strategies for Pakistan
Siddiqui, KM; Mohammad, I; Ayaz, M
通讯作者Siddiqui, KM
来源期刊CLIMATE RESEARCH
ISSN0936-577X
出版年1999
卷号12期号:2-3页码:195-203
英文摘要

A study was carried out to determine the impact of climate change on natural forest ecosystems in Pakistan assuming a 0.3 degreesC rise in temperature and a precipitation change of 0, +1 and -1% decade(-1) with 1990 as the base year. The current atmospheric CO2 concentration of 350 ppmv was assumed to increase to 425 ppmv in 2020, 500 ppmv in 2050 and 575 ppmv in 2080. The BIOME3 model was used for computer simulation of 9 dominant plant types, or biomes. Of these, 3 biomes (alpine tundra, grassland/arid woodlands and deserts) showed a reduction in their area; and 5 biomes (cold conifer/mixed woodland, cold conifer/mixed forests, temperate conifer/mixed forests, warm conifer/mixed forests, and steppe/arid shrub lands) showed an increase in their area as a result of climate change. Enhanced CO2 concentration in the atmosphere appeared to have a pronounced effect on the biomes’ area. Net primary productivity exhibited an increase in all biomes and scenarios. However, there is a possibility of forest dieback occurring and of time lag before the dominant plant types have enough time to adjust to changed climate and migrate to new sites. In the intervening period, they would be vulnerable to environmental and socio-economic disturbances (e.g. erosion, deforestation, and land-use changes). Thus, the overall impact of climate change on the forest ecosystems of Pakistan could be negative. A number of adaptation strategies are proposed to cope with climate change impacts on forest ecosystems.


英文关键词biome forest ecosystem climate change dominant plant type net primary productivity adaptation
类型Article
语种英语
国家Pakistan
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000171723000017
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/137137
作者单位(1)Pakistan Forest Inst, Peshawar 25120, Pakistan
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Siddiqui, KM,Mohammad, I,Ayaz, M. Forest ecosystem climate change impact assessment and adaptation strategies for Pakistan[J],1999,12(2-3):195-203.
APA Siddiqui, KM,Mohammad, I,&Ayaz, M.(1999).Forest ecosystem climate change impact assessment and adaptation strategies for Pakistan.CLIMATE RESEARCH,12(2-3),195-203.
MLA Siddiqui, KM,et al."Forest ecosystem climate change impact assessment and adaptation strategies for Pakistan".CLIMATE RESEARCH 12.2-3(1999):195-203.
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