Arid
DOI10.1016/S0169-8095(98)00067-2
Invariance of the design storm in a region under a rainfall climate change at mid-latitudes
Lucero, OA
通讯作者Lucero, OA
来源期刊ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH
ISSN0169-8095
出版年1998
卷号49期号:1页码:11-20
英文摘要

The effect of climate change on severe storms is a topic of interest for water resources engineering and hydrometeorology. The question that arises is whether a climate change that increases the local rainfall, also implies an increase in severe storms intensity. In this paper the question is answered using statistical techniques with reference to a type of severe storm: The one that, each year, produces the annual maximum of daily rainfall. Time series of annual maximum of daily rainfall are used to calculate the design storm. The design storm is used in water resources for designing some types of hydraulic structures for flood control, or urban stormwater drainage. This research analyzes whether a climate change in the annual rainfall implies a climate change in the annual maximum of daily rainfall. Evidence is presented showing that these two types of time series have uncoupled evolution. The region of study is semi-arid, located in mid-latitudes, in central Argentina. A climate change in annual rainfall is detected at two sites. Annual rainfall has been increasing at a mean trend of 8 mm/year. However, the annual maximum of daily rainfall has shown a constant mean, at a 5% level of significance. The variance of the annual maximum of daily rainfall has remained constant. This result indicates that the design storm is invariant in a region of central Argentina where a strong climate change in annual rainfall is taking place. It also indicates that a rainfall climate change in a time scale, does not necessarily imply the existence of a similar climate change in embedded time scales. (C) 1998 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.


英文关键词climate change severe storm rainfall hydrometeorology
类型Article
语种英语
国家Argentina
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000074631200002
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/135391
作者单位(1)Univ Nacl Cordoba, Ctr Reg Semiarida, INA, RA-5009 Cordoba, Argentina
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GB/T 7714
Lucero, OA. Invariance of the design storm in a region under a rainfall climate change at mid-latitudes[J],1998,49(1):11-20.
APA Lucero, OA.(1998).Invariance of the design storm in a region under a rainfall climate change at mid-latitudes.ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH,49(1),11-20.
MLA Lucero, OA."Invariance of the design storm in a region under a rainfall climate change at mid-latitudes".ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH 49.1(1998):11-20.
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