Arid
DOI10.1016/S0167-8809(96)01098-5
Modelling the effect of shelterbelts on maize productivity under climate change: An application of the EPIC model
Easterling, WE; Hays, CJ; Easterling, MM; Brandle, JR
通讯作者Easterling, WE
来源期刊AGRICULTURE ECOSYSTEMS & ENVIRONMENT
ISSN0167-8809
出版年1997
卷号61期号:2-3页码:163-176
英文摘要

The potential of shelterbelts to ameliorate climate change induced crop stress, particularly in semi-arid regions such as the North American Great Plains, is examined. Specifically, the microclimate effects of shelterbelts, synthesized from empirical studies in the literature, are inserted into the Erosion-Productivity Impact Calculator (EPIC) crop model to simulate the response of dryland maize to shelter at The University of Nebraska Agricultural Research and Development Center (ARDC) near Mead, Nebraska. Though lack of extensive observed maize yield data precluded rigorous validation, the shelterbelt version of EPIC and a version simulating an unsheltered control were tested with 2 years of observed maize yield data from ARDC. EPIC underpredicted the observed ratio of shelter to open field maize yields as expected because not all benefits of shelter to crops can be incorporated into EPIC. However, the two versions correctly simulated the magnitude of difference in the shelterbelt to open field ratios between the 2 years. The two EPIC versions were then subjected to prescribed increments to temperature, and increments/decrements to precipitation and windspeed to examine differences in crop productivity between the two EPIC versions. The results show that simulated shelter increases dryland maize yields above corresponding unsheltered yields for almost all levels of climate change. The model results suggest that shelterbelts provide a night-time cooling that partially compensates the tendency of warming to shorten the growing season. They also suggest that evapotranspiration is reduced in shelter, thus reducing crop moisture stress. The positive effect of shelter on dryland maize at all levels of temperature increase is greatest for the most severe changes: maximum precipitation deficiency and greatest increase in windspeed. Despite methodological limitations, the findings suggest that shelterbelts may afford important protection from climate warming.


英文关键词shelterbelt agricultural adaptation maize climate change impacts microclimate crop model windbreak
类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:A1997WT63800009
WOS关键词PRESENT TECHNOLOGY ; FARMER SCENARIO ; CROP RESPONSE ; WINDBREAK ; SIMULATIONS ; ADJUSTMENTS ; NEBRASKA ; EROSION ; IMPACT
WOS类目Agriculture, Multidisciplinary ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Agriculture ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/133710
作者单位(1)UNIV NEBRASKA,DEPT BIOL SYST ENGN,LINCOLN,NE 68583;(2)UNIV NEBRASKA,DEPT FORESTRY FISHERIES WILDLIFE,LINCOLN,NE 68583
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Easterling, WE,Hays, CJ,Easterling, MM,et al. Modelling the effect of shelterbelts on maize productivity under climate change: An application of the EPIC model[J],1997,61(2-3):163-176.
APA Easterling, WE,Hays, CJ,Easterling, MM,&Brandle, JR.(1997).Modelling the effect of shelterbelts on maize productivity under climate change: An application of the EPIC model.AGRICULTURE ECOSYSTEMS & ENVIRONMENT,61(2-3),163-176.
MLA Easterling, WE,et al."Modelling the effect of shelterbelts on maize productivity under climate change: An application of the EPIC model".AGRICULTURE ECOSYSTEMS & ENVIRONMENT 61.2-3(1997):163-176.
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