干旱区生态环境知识资源中心

During the last ten years, a great number of geological or other proxy records provided radiocarbon, U/Th or TL dated information on the past climatic oscillations in the arid/semi-arid zones extending between the Atlantic and the Pacific. Comparisons and a synthetic view of these results can now be attempted for the last 140 ka, and compared with global changes, as registered in oceanic or ice cores, and with palaeomonsoon models: for this purpose, wide spatial and time scales have to be used.

On the whole, arid/humid alternations roughly fit global changes, cold phases corresponding to an extension of the arid areas to the South, warm phases corresponding to the shrinking of the same to the North.

The last interglacial is associated with an increase of precipitation throughout the area considered. Isotopic stage 4 brings no evidence whatsoever of humid conditions. Two wetter episodes are registrated during stage 3. A major rainfall decrease is everywhere associated with the Last Glacial Maximum (21-15 ka in most regions), the arid or semi-arid zones extending several hundred kilometers southwards, relative to the present-day pattern. The two abrupt deglaciation steps and the Younger Dryas are recorded in all of the most sensitive regions, at the margins of the present-day monsoonal range. During the Holocene, the precipitation increases everywhere (by 100-400 mm, relative to the present-day values), the optimum being at 8.5-6.5 ka. A climatic deterioration follows with an irregular pattern of dry/wet episodes, according to the different geographic conditions. The humid phase terminates at 3.5-3 ka in the whole transitional zone.

The major southward shift of the monsoonal precipitation range since its optimum, some 8000 years ago, fits the astronomical neoglacial trend and may possibly be correlated with past stage 5d, although its rapidity and spatial importance may just reflect one of the sharp successive cold/warm variations registered by GRIP during the whole stage 5.