干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Prediction of habitat suitability for the desert monitor (Varanus griseus caspius) under the influence of future climate change

Arid

DOI	10.1016/j.jaridenv.2020.104416
	Prediction of habitat suitability for the desert monitor (Varanus griseus caspius) under the influence of future climate change
	Shadloo, Shabnam; Mahmoodi, Shirin; Hosseinzadeh, Mahboubeh Sadat; Kazemi, Seyed Mahdi
通讯作者	Shadloo, S (corresponding author), 9,Lale 5 Ally,Hale St, Garmsar 3581863931, Semnan, Iran.
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF ARID ENVIRONMENTS
ISSN	0140-1963
EISSN	1095-922X
出版年	2021
卷号	186
英文摘要	Varanus griseus caspius (desert monitor) is a predator included appendix I of Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species; therefore, it is crucial to plan for its conservation. In this study, the suitable habitats of the desert monitor, Varanus griseus caspius, were evaluated in Iran, considering 10 environmental factors, for three periods of time: mid-Holocene, current, and years 2041-2060. Three individual models were produced to create an ensemble model: Generalized Boosting Model (GBM), Generalized Additive Model (GAM), and Random Forests (RF). Next, highly suitable areas in current and future periods were compared to the boundaries of conservation areas (CA). Among the different models projected, the ensemble model performed the best. The results indicated that so far, the distribution range of the species has shifted profoundly and will continue to grow in the future, while some currently suitable CAs will turn into unsuitable habitats for the species. We suggest further studies focus on redefining and broadening the CAs borders. Also, studying the species connectivity in current and potential future habitats can help to protect the species.
英文关键词	Desert monitor Iran Climate change Habitat suitability R language program biomod2
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000611830300007
WOS关键词	IMPACTS ; MODELS ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; POPULATIONS ; OPHIOMORUS ; SCENARIOS ; BIOMOD ; AREAS
WOS类目	Ecology ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/350671
作者单位	[Shadloo, Shabnam] Univ Guilan, Fac Nat Resources, Dept Environm Sci, Sowmesara, Iran; [Mahmoodi, Shirin] Univ Tehran, Fac Nat Resources, Dept Environm Sci, Karaj, Iran; [Hosseinzadeh, Mahboubeh Sadat] Univ Birjand, Fac Sci, Dept Biol, Birjand, Iran; [Kazemi, Seyed Mahdi] Zagros Herpetol Inst, Qom, Iran
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Shadloo, Shabnam,Mahmoodi, Shirin,Hosseinzadeh, Mahboubeh Sadat,et al. Prediction of habitat suitability for the desert monitor (Varanus griseus caspius) under the influence of future climate change[J],2021,186.
APA	Shadloo, Shabnam,Mahmoodi, Shirin,Hosseinzadeh, Mahboubeh Sadat,&Kazemi, Seyed Mahdi.(2021).Prediction of habitat suitability for the desert monitor (Varanus griseus caspius) under the influence of future climate change.JOURNAL OF ARID ENVIRONMENTS,186.
MLA	Shadloo, Shabnam,et al."Prediction of habitat suitability for the desert monitor (Varanus griseus caspius) under the influence of future climate change".JOURNAL OF ARID ENVIRONMENTS 186(2021).