干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE ISIS'S STRATEGY IN LIBYA

Arid

DOI	10.20542/0131-2227-2019-63-12-101-108
	THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE ISIS'S STRATEGY IN LIBYA
	Vasil'ev, Aleksei M.; Zherlitsina, Natalia A.
通讯作者	Vasil'ev, AM
来源期刊	MIROVAYA EKONOMIKA I MEZHDUNARODNYE OTNOSHENIYA
ISSN	0131-2227
出版年	2019
卷号	63 期号:12 页码:101-108
英文摘要	The article analyzes the prospects of the presence of the terrorist organization "Islamic State" in Libya after the defeat of 2016. Although the Libyan authorities, with help of the international community, managed to deprive the ISIS of its stronghold in Sirte in 2016, the radical organization was able to recover, reorganize and once again claim to determine the future of Libya and the Sahel. The relevance of this study is due to the influence that the growth of radicalism in Libya has on international security, the environments in the Sahel and neighboring Arab and African countries. The situation is complicated by the fact that in Libya, from 2011 to the present time, there is a devastating civil war on calling into question the very existence of the Libyan state, creating a ground for the spread of radicalism and crime in the region and in the Mediterranean as a whole. Based on the analysis of reports from Libyan and Arab news agencies, data from European and American analytical centers, the authors draw conclusions about the prospects of the ISIS's presence in Libya. Its future will depend on the success of state reconstruction. Organizations of this type emerge and can develop where national states are collapsing and a vacuum of power, chaos and lawlessness arise. The measures taken in the last year by the Libyan National Army to liberate southern Libya from terrorists and to open its oilfields may become a real obstacle for the ISIS there. If these measures have an effect, the "Islamic State" in Libya may face the impossibility of continuing its previous activities in the Libyan Fezzan. Conversely, if a new round of inter-tribal and inter-ethnic struggle breaks out in Fezzan as a result of the disruption of social and power balance due to the LNA campaign or inability of the Government of National Accord and Libyan National Army to work together, the "Islamic State" will only strengthen its positions. The ISIS has clearly demonstrated that it is able to gain and accumulate resources in conditions of instability.
英文关键词	Libya civil war ISIS Libyan National Army (LNA) Haftar Sahel Fezzan terrorism guerrilla tactics "desert army"
类型	Article
语种	Russian
收录类别	ESCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000503011700012
WOS类目	International Relations
WOS研究方向	International Relations
Scopus学科分类	Peoples Friendship Univ Russia, RUDN Univ, 6 Miklukho Maklaya Str, Moscow 117198, Russia.
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/333987
作者单位	[Vasil'ev, Aleksei M.; Zherlitsina, Natalia A.] IAS RAS, 30-1 Spiridonovka Str, Moscow 123001, Russia; [Vasil'ev, Aleksei M.; Zherlitsina, Natalia A.] Peoples Friendship Univ Russia, RUDN Univ, 6 Miklukho Maklaya Str, Moscow 117198, Russia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Vasil'ev, Aleksei M.,Zherlitsina, Natalia A.. THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE ISIS'S STRATEGY IN LIBYA[J],2019,63(12):101-108.
APA	Vasil'ev, Aleksei M.,&Zherlitsina, Natalia A..(2019).THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE ISIS'S STRATEGY IN LIBYA.MIROVAYA EKONOMIKA I MEZHDUNARODNYE OTNOSHENIYA,63(12),101-108.
MLA	Vasil'ev, Aleksei M.,et al."THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE ISIS'S STRATEGY IN LIBYA".MIROVAYA EKONOMIKA I MEZHDUNARODNYE OTNOSHENIYA 63.12(2019):101-108.