Arid
DOI10.1002/ecs2.1920
A flexible method to determine the sensitive physical parameter combination for soil carbon under five plant types
Sun, Guodong1,3; Mu, Mu2
通讯作者Sun, Guodong
来源期刊ECOSPHERE
ISSN2150-8925
出版年2017
卷号8期号:8
英文摘要

Model parameter errors are a critical source of uncertainty in simulations of soil carbon. It is important to determine which parameter errors should be reduced to improve the simulation ability of soil carbon. It is essential to determine the most sensitive parameter combination. In this study, a new flexible approach is employed to identify the most sensitive parameter combination based on the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation related to parameter (CNOP-P) using the Lund-Potsdam-Jena model. The CNOP-P is a type of parameter error that triggers the upper bound of uncertainty in a numerical simulation and prediction, for which a nonlinear effect can be reported. To compare the sensitivity of parameter combinations, the one-at-a-time (OAT) approach is also applied to determine the sensitivity of each parameter. Using the CNOP-P approach, parameter errors can really cause large simulation errors for soil carbon throughout an entire study region (2674.69 g C/m(2)). Results show the most sensitive parameter combinations of soil carbon are different for five plant functional types (PFTs). For all cases, f(air) (fraction of decomposed litter emitted as CO2 to the atmosphere) and f(inter) (fraction of soil-bound decomposed litter entering intermediate soil carbon pool) comprise the most sensitive parameter combination for boreal needle-leaved evergreen trees, boreal needle-leaved summergreen trees, temperate broadleaved summergreen trees, temperate broadleaved evergreen trees, and C3 perennial grass. For C3 perennial grass under semi-arid conditions, the hydrology process is also critical in the uncertainty of simulated soil carbon. The most sensitive parameter combination using the new flexible approach is different to that of the top rank of sensitivity of each parameter when employing the CNOP-P and OAT methods, which implies that a nonlinear effect of the parameter combination is crucial for determining the sensitive parameter combination. The sensitivity of the parameter combination is dependent on the PFTs and climate condition. Among factors causing the uncertainty of simulated soil carbon, the fast-decomposing soil carbon pool plays the main contribution. It is considered that the physical process involved in the fast-decomposing soil carbon pool needs to be improved as a priority compared to other physical processes to enhance the simulation ability of soil carbon.


英文关键词conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation related to parameter (CNOP-P) model parameter errors sensitivity of parameter combination soil carbon uncertainty analysis
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000409094000019
WOS关键词NONLINEAR OPTIMAL PERTURBATION ; NET PRIMARY PRODUCTION ; LAND-SURFACE SCHEME ; ORGANIC-CARBON ; TERRESTRIAL BIOSPHERE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; GRASSLAND ECOSYSTEM ; DYNAMICS ; MODEL ; SIMULATIONS
WOS类目Ecology
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源机构中国科学院大气物理研究所
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/198549
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geop, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China;
2.Fudan Univ, Inst Atmospher Sci, 220 Handan Rd, Shanghai 200433, Peoples R China;
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Sun, Guodong,Mu, Mu. A flexible method to determine the sensitive physical parameter combination for soil carbon under five plant types[J]. 中国科学院大气物理研究所,2017,8(8).
APA Sun, Guodong,&Mu, Mu.(2017).A flexible method to determine the sensitive physical parameter combination for soil carbon under five plant types.ECOSPHERE,8(8).
MLA Sun, Guodong,et al."A flexible method to determine the sensitive physical parameter combination for soil carbon under five plant types".ECOSPHERE 8.8(2017).
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