Arid
DOI10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.02.038
Spatio-temporal variations of precipitation extremes in Xinjiang, China
Zhang, Qiang1,2; Singh, Vijay P.3,4; Li, Jianfeng1,2; Jiang, Fengqing5; Bai, Yungang6
通讯作者Zhang, Qiang
来源期刊JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
ISSN0022-1694
EISSN1879-2707
出版年2012
卷号434页码:7-18
英文摘要

This study aims to study joint probabilities and changing characteristics of precipitation extremes, as well as the implications of these changes in Xinjiang. Daily rainfall data from 53 stations across Xinjiang. China, covering a period of 1957-2009 were collected. Using eight precipitation indices, probabilistic characteristics of precipitation extremes were analyzed based on Copulas. The K-S method was employed to select appropriate marginal probability distributions for determining quantiles, and the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) was used to select copulas. Results indicate the following: (1) North Xinjiang is wetter than south Xinjiang; (2) More concurrent strong and weak precipitation extremes are observed in the areas along Tianshan Mountains, and in eastern parts of the Xinjiang than those in western parts of the Xinjiang; (3) After 1980, the Xinjiang region is exhibiting a wetting tendency, and the heavy precipitation extremes tend to occur more severely and frequently; and also the possibilities of concurrent strong and weak precipitation extremes altered in a distinct pattern; (4) Tianshan Mountains can be taken as the demarcation for the occurrences of floods and droughts and the risk of droughts and floods across the Xinjiang region is expected to increase. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


英文关键词Extreme precipitation regimes Joint distribution Copula function Arid and semi-arid regions Xinjiang
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China ; USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000303137100002
WOS关键词PEARL RIVER-BASIN ; CHANGING PROPERTIES ; COPULA ; TRENDS ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; VARIABILITY ; EVENTS ; MAXIMA ; MODELS ; FLOODS
WOS类目Engineering, Civil ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources
来源机构中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/173671
作者单位1.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Dept Water Resources & Environm, Guangzhou 510275, Guangdong, Peoples R China;
2.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Key Lab Water Cycle & Water Secur So China, Guangdong High Educ Inst, Guangzhou 510275, Guangdong, Peoples R China;
3.Texas A&M Univ, Dept Biol & Agr Engn, College Stn, TX 77843 USA;
4.Texas A&M Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, College Stn, TX 77843 USA;
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, Xinjiang 830011, Peoples R China;
6.Xinjiang Res Inst Water Resources & Hydropower, Xinjiang 830049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zhang, Qiang,Singh, Vijay P.,Li, Jianfeng,et al. Spatio-temporal variations of precipitation extremes in Xinjiang, China[J]. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,2012,434:7-18.
APA Zhang, Qiang,Singh, Vijay P.,Li, Jianfeng,Jiang, Fengqing,&Bai, Yungang.(2012).Spatio-temporal variations of precipitation extremes in Xinjiang, China.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,434,7-18.
MLA Zhang, Qiang,et al."Spatio-temporal variations of precipitation extremes in Xinjiang, China".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY 434(2012):7-18.
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